Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Longford Town had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Longford Town win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.
