Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Longford Town had a probability of 12.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.35%) and 1-2 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Longford Town win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
