SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Cork City had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Cork City win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Cork City |
49.24% ( 0.01) | 25.09% ( 0) | 25.67% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.2% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.47% ( -0.01) | 50.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.55% ( -0.01) | 72.44% ( 0.01) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% | 20.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% | 53.04% ( -0) |
| Cork City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.69% ( -0.02) | 34.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.99% ( -0.01) | 71% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Cork City |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.44% 2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.98% 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.64% Total : 49.23% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.54% 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 25.67% |
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