SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shelbourne in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Shelbourne |
32.21% ( 0.08) | 28.65% ( 0.05) | 39.14% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.47% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.09% ( -0.15) | 60.91% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.07% ( -0.11) | 80.93% ( 0.11) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% ( -0.02) | 34.79% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.47% ( -0.02) | 71.52% ( 0.02) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( -0.15) | 30.27% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.55% ( -0.18) | 66.44% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 32.2% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.64% | 0-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.14% |
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