SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Shelbourne |
34.11% ( -0.7) | 27.76% ( -1) | 38.13% ( 1.7) |
| Both teams to score 48.39% ( 2.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.55% ( 3.56) | 57.45% ( -3.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.74% ( 2.75) | 78.25% ( -2.75) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% ( 1.37) | 31.68% ( -1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.91% ( 1.55) | 68.09% ( -1.55) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( 2.82) | 29.17% ( -2.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.89% ( 3.35) | 65.1% ( -3.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -1.08) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.22)Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.11% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 9.24% ( -1.33)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.43)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.66) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.46)0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.42)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.3)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.12% |
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