SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Bohemians |
33.02% ( 0.14) | 28.6% ( -0.02) | 38.38% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 45.76% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.36% ( 0.09) | 60.63% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.28% ( 0.07) | 80.72% ( -0.07) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.92% ( 0.14) | 34.07% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.24% ( 0.16) | 70.76% ( -0.16) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( -0.03) | 30.59% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% ( -0.04) | 66.82% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.01% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.6% | 0-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.37% |
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