SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 40.85%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Cork City had a probability of 29.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.25%) and 1-2 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Cork City win it was 1-0 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cork City | Draw | Shelbourne |
29.48% ( 0.02) | 29.68% ( 0.01) | 40.85% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.89% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.12% ( -0.03) | 64.88% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.19% ( -0.02) | 83.81% ( 0.02) |
| Cork City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.95% ( -0) | 39.05% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.23% ( -0) | 75.77% ( 0) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% ( -0.04) | 31.27% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.38% ( -0.04) | 67.62% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cork City | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.28% 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.97% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.69% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.52% Total : 29.47% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.67% | 0-1 @ 14.19% 0-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.84% |
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