Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sligo Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
28.39% ( 0.91) | 26.34% ( 0.18) | 45.27% ( -1.08) |
Both teams to score 50.48% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.22% ( -0.21) | 53.78% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.74% ( -0.18) | 75.25% ( 0.18) |
Sligo Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.14% ( 0.6) | 33.86% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.47% ( 0.64) | 70.53% ( -0.64) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.32% ( -0.6) | 23.68% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.21% ( -0.88) | 57.79% ( 0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Sligo Rovers | Draw | Derry City |
1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.33% Total : 28.39% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 4% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.73% Total : 45.27% |
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