SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 26 | 26 | 56 |
| 2 | Derry City | 27 | 19 | 49 |
| 3 | Dundalk | 28 | 15 | 49 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 28 | -14 | 31 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 27 | -23 | 18 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 27 | -34 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 8.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.01%) and 3-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | University College Dublin |
74.64% ( -0.96) | 16.84% ( 0.58) | 8.53% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 40.64% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.11% ( -1.21) | 45.89% ( 1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.8% ( -1.16) | 68.21% ( 1.17) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.33% ( -0.56) | 10.67% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.45% ( -1.29) | 34.55% ( 1.29) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.49% ( 0.15) | 54.51% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.42% ( 0.09) | 87.59% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 2-0 @ 14.56% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.36)3-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.51% Total : 74.63% | 1-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.44% Total : 16.84% | 0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.53% Total : 8.53% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
