SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 79.89%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 6.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.24%) and 1-0 (11.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Finn Harps |
79.89% ( -0) | 13.86% ( -0.01) | 6.25% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 39.31% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.15% ( 0.13) | 40.85% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.76% ( 0.13) | 63.24% ( -0.13) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.85% ( 0.03) | 8.15% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.43% ( 0.07) | 28.57% ( -0.07) |
| Finn Harps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.79% ( 0.14) | 57.21% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.84% ( 0.08) | 89.16% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Finn Harps |
| 2-0 @ 14.65% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.68% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.85% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.6% Total : 79.87% | 1-1 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 13.86% | 0-1 @ 2.6% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 6.25% |
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