SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Derry City |
27.93% ( 0.01) | 27.24% ( -0) | 44.83% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 47.57% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.61% ( 0.02) | 57.39% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.79% ( 0.01) | 78.21% ( -0.01) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( 0.02) | 36.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% ( 0.01) | 72.94% ( -0.01) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( 0) | 25.5% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.66% ( 0) | 60.34% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 27.93% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.61% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.92% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.22% Total : 44.82% |
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