SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 28 | 16 | 48 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 27 | 6 | 38 |
| 6 | Bohemians | 28 | -1 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 27 | -8 | 33 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 28 | -14 | 31 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 28 | -24 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 66.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 13.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.14%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Drogheda United |
66.26% ( -1.72) | 20.72% ( 0.2) | 13.02% ( 1.51) |
| Both teams to score 44.04% ( 3.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.78% ( 2.49) | 50.22% ( -2.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.82% ( 2.17) | 72.17% ( -2.18) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( 0.27) | 14.32% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.86% ( 0.51) | 42.14% ( -0.51) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.39% ( 4.12) | 48.6% ( -4.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.33% ( 2.8) | 83.67% ( -2.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 13.52% ( -1.28) 2-0 @ 13.14% ( -1.11)2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.36)3-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.63)3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.29)4-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.34)5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.26% Total : 66.25% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.73)2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.5)Other @ 0.58% Total : 20.72% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.49)0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.24)Other @ 2.67% Total : 13.02% |
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