SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 69.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 11.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | University College Dublin |
69.57% ( -1.8) | 18.75% ( 1) | 11.68% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 46.17% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.89% ( -2.31) | 45.1% ( 2.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.55% ( -2.26) | 67.45% ( 2.25) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.19% ( -1.13) | 11.8% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.97% ( -2.45) | 37.02% ( 2.45) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.35% ( -0.05) | 47.65% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.03% ( -0.03) | 82.97% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 2-0 @ 12.83% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.64)2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.42)4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.28)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.27% Total : 69.56% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.47) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.54)2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.69% Total : 18.75% | 0-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.66% Total : 11.68% |
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