SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 18 | -27 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 2 | 25 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 18 | -6 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
21.96% ( -0.11) | 24.74% ( -0.27) | 53.29% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 49.22% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.54% ( 0.92) | 52.46% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.86% ( 0.78) | 74.13% ( -0.78) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.25% ( 0.4) | 38.75% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.52% ( 0.38) | 75.48% ( -0.38) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% ( 0.51) | 19.65% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.38% ( 0.83) | 51.62% ( -0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 21.96% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 10.07% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.18% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.83% Total : 53.27% |
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