SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Drogheda United |
51.38% ( -1.22) | 24.92% ( 0.47) | 23.7% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% ( -1.17) | 51.47% ( 1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% ( -1.03) | 73.28% ( 1.03) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.97% ( -0.94) | 20.03% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.76% ( -1.54) | 52.24% ( 1.55) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% ( 0.04) | 36.54% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.67% ( 0.04) | 73.33% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.75% Total : 51.37% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.81% Total : 23.7% |
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