SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for University College Dublin had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest University College Dublin win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Drogheda United in this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Drogheda United |
33.97% ( -1.75) | 26.51% ( -0.18) | 39.52% ( 1.93) |
| Both teams to score 52.23% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.41% ( 0.53) | 52.59% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.76% ( 0.45) | 74.24% ( -0.44) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( -0.83) | 29.34% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% ( -1.03) | 65.32% ( 1.03) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% ( 1.32) | 26.08% ( -1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.87% ( 1.74) | 61.13% ( -1.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.97% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.37)1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.51% |
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