SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
22.61% ( 0.35) | 25.56% ( -0.06) | 51.82% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 47.65% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.07% ( 0.56) | 54.93% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.78% ( 0.46) | 76.22% ( -0.46) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.49% ( 0.66) | 39.5% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.81% ( 0.61) | 76.19% ( -0.62) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( 0.1) | 21.23% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.87% ( 0.16) | 54.13% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.4% Total : 22.61% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 10.07% ( -0.15)1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.23% Total : 51.81% |
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