SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 71.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 10.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.3%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | University College Dublin |
71.3% ( 0.03) | 18.12% ( -0.06) | 10.59% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.53% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.73% ( 0.33) | 45.27% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.39% ( 0.31) | 67.61% ( -0.31) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.62% ( 0.1) | 11.38% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.88% ( 0.21) | 36.12% ( -0.21) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.25% ( 0.27) | 49.75% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.51% ( 0.19) | 84.49% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 2-0 @ 13.37% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.37% Total : 71.29% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.6% Total : 18.12% | 0-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 10.59% |
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