SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Waterford United |
37.74% ( 1.28) | 28.43% ( -0.22) | 33.82% ( -1.06) |
| Both teams to score 46.37% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.06% ( 0.72) | 59.94% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.81% ( 0.54) | 80.19% ( -0.54) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% ( 1.16) | 30.63% ( -1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.13% ( 1.35) | 66.87% ( -1.35) |
| Waterford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% ( -0.34) | 33.15% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.24% ( -0.37) | 69.76% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Waterford United |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.74% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.43% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.82% |
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