SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
41.98% ( 0.01) | 25.92% ( 0.09) | 32.1% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.42% ( -0.41) | 50.58% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.5% ( -0.36) | 72.5% ( 0.37) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% ( -0.18) | 23.89% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.91% ( -0.25) | 58.09% ( 0.26) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% ( -0.27) | 29.56% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.42% ( -0.33) | 65.58% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.98% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.1% |
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