SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Waterford United | Draw | Derry City |
27.64% ( 0.02) | 25.63% | 46.73% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.14% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.62% ( 0.01) | 51.38% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.8% ( 0.01) | 73.2% ( -0.01) |
| Waterford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% ( 0.02) | 33.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.22% ( 0.03) | 69.78% ( -0.03) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% ( -0.01) | 21.98% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.72% ( -0.01) | 55.28% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Waterford United | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.44% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 27.64% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.23% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.28% Total : 46.73% |
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