SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
44.48% ( 0.11) | 27.18% ( 0.02) | 28.34% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.98% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.02% ( -0.14) | 56.98% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.12% ( -0.11) | 77.88% ( 0.11) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( -0.01) | 25.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.67% ( -0.01) | 60.33% ( 0.01) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.39% ( -0.18) | 35.61% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.62% ( -0.18) | 72.38% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.47% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 28.34% |
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