SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
40.73% ( -0.07) | 28.21% ( 0.02) | 31.05% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.34% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.33% ( -0.07) | 59.67% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.02% ( -0.05) | 79.98% ( 0.05) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( -0.07) | 28.74% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% ( -0.09) | 64.57% ( 0.09) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.03% ( -0) | 34.96% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.29% ( -0.01) | 71.71% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.65% Total : 40.73% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 31.05% |
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