Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Drogheda United | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
35.63% ( -0.58) | 25.05% ( -0.1) | 39.32% ( 0.67) |
Both teams to score 57.48% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.02% ( 0.38) | 45.97% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.72% ( 0.36) | 68.28% ( -0.36) |
Drogheda United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% ( -0.15) | 25.17% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% ( -0.2) | 59.89% ( 0.2) |
St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.81% ( 0.52) | 23.19% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.92% ( 0.75) | 57.08% ( -0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Drogheda United | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.63% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.32% |
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