SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
34.58% ( -0.48) | 26.69% ( 0.26) | 38.73% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.79% ( -1.14) | 53.21% ( 1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.23% ( -0.98) | 74.77% ( 0.98) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( -0.86) | 29.26% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.78% ( -1.07) | 65.22% ( 1.07) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% ( -0.41) | 26.8% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% ( -0.54) | 62.08% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.58% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.73% |
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