SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Patrick's Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Drogheda United |
60.55% ( -0.99) | 23.79% ( 0.49) | 15.66% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 41.76% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.11% ( -0.96) | 56.89% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.19% ( -0.78) | 77.81% ( 0.78) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( -0.71) | 18.56% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.18% ( -1.22) | 49.82% ( 1.22) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.28% ( 0.11) | 48.72% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.24% ( 0.08) | 83.75% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 15.23% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 12.82% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.81% Total : 60.55% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 15.66% |
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