SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
18.65% ( 2) | 22.49% ( 0.44) | 58.86% ( -2.44) |
| Both teams to score 51.05% ( 2.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.53% ( 1.28) | 47.47% ( -1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% ( 1.18) | 69.68% ( -1.18) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.62% ( 3.15) | 39.38% ( -3.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.92% ( 2.81) | 76.07% ( -2.81) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.21% ( -0.37) | 15.79% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.07% ( -0.69) | 44.93% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.5)2-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.24)Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.65% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.41)Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.49% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.78) 0-2 @ 10.59% ( -0.86)1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 6.52% ( -0.63)1-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.09)0-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.14)1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 58.85% |
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