SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
36.21% ( -0.01) | 26.27% ( -0.01) | 37.52% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.32% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.67% ( 0.03) | 51.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.85% ( 0.02) | 73.15% ( -0.02) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% ( 0.01) | 27.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.19% ( 0.01) | 62.81% ( -0.01) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( 0.02) | 26.6% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.18% ( 0.03) | 61.82% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.21% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.52% |
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