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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 33
Oct 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park
UC

Shelbourne
1 - 1
UCD

Ledwidge (40')
Ross Wilson (43'), Griffin (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dignam (64')
Nolan (29'), Caffrey (39')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shelbourne and University College Dublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derry 1-1 Shelbourne
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 2-1 Drogheda
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 18.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
ShelbourneDrawUniversity College Dublin
59.09% (-2.974 -2.97) 22.51% (0.849 0.85) 18.41% (2.132 2.13)
Both teams to score 50.58% (1.533 1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12% (-0.116 -0.12)47.89% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94% (-0.108 -0.11)70.07% (0.116 0.12)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.15% (-1.008 -1.01)15.85% (1.015 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.95% (-1.895 -1.9)45.05% (1.904 1.9)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.11% (2.517 2.52)39.9% (-2.509 -2.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.45% (2.235 2.24)76.56% (-2.228 -2.23)
Score Analysis
    Shelbourne 59.07%
    University College Dublin 18.41%
    Draw 22.5%
ShelbourneDrawUniversity College Dublin
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-0 @ 10.72% (-0.73 -0.73)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.59% (-0.697 -0.7)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.197 -0.2)
4-0 @ 3.03% (-0.441 -0.44)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.209 -0.21)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 59.07%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.41 0.41)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.314 0.31)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.5%
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.413 0.41)
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.5 0.5)
0-2 @ 2.67% (0.355 0.36)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.243 0.24)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 18.41%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Derry 1-1 Shelbourne
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 3-2 Shelbourne
Sunday, October 9 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 4-4 St Patrick's
Monday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Finn Harps 1-1 Shelbourne
Friday, September 30 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 0-0 Shamrock
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 0-2 Sligo
Friday, September 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 2-1 Drogheda
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 0-2 Sligo
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 1-0 UCD
Friday, September 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 UCD
Monday, September 26 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 3-2 Dundalk
Friday, September 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 3-0 UCD
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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