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League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
BL

Plymouth
3 - 0
Bolton

Galloway (6'), Grant (15'), Broom (90+4')
Galloway (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bakayoko (12'), Afolayan (50'), Lee (54')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBolton Wanderers
35.85%27.29%36.86%
Both teams to score 50%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49%55.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31%76.69%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4%29.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37%65.63%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02%28.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13%64.87%
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 35.85%
    Bolton Wanderers 36.86%
    Draw 27.28%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.44%
2-1 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 6.36%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 35.85%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 10.62%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 6.58%
1-3 @ 3.31%
0-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.86%

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