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League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
S

Portsmouth
4 - 0
Sunderland

Harness (19'), Brown (33'), Marquis (45', 61')
Tunnicliffe (41'), Curtis (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Neill (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawSunderland
32.82%26.27%40.9%
Both teams to score 52.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16%51.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4%73.6%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29%29.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23%65.77%
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75%25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34%59.66%
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 32.82%
    Sunderland 40.9%
    Draw 26.27%
PortsmouthDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.01%
2-1 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 5.47%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 32.82%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 10.29%
1-2 @ 8.66%
0-2 @ 7.14%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 40.9%

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