SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 51.73%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
24.2% ( 1.1) | 24.07% ( 0.48) | 51.73% ( -1.57) |
| Both teams to score 53.91% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.45% ( -0.97) | 47.56% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( -0.9) | 69.76% ( 0.91) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.05% ( 0.44) | 33.95% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.37% ( 0.47) | 70.63% ( -0.47) |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.63% ( -0.95) | 18.37% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.5% ( -1.64) | 49.51% ( 1.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.24% Total : 24.2% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 5.46% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.19)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.36% Total : 51.72% |
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