Accrington are coming into this encounter in decent form, and they tend to be well-organised and intelligent on the ball away from home.
Barnsley have struggled with continuity to this point of 2023, and we expect them to have the bulk of the chances this weekend, but they have not shown much poise in the attacking third.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
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