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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
LC

Accrington
0 - 3
Lincoln


Tharme (39'), Woods (75')
Perritt (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
House (24'), Roughan (55'), Bishop (58')
House (60'), O'Connor (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Lincoln City

Accrington Stanley's home record does not make for great reading, but Lincoln's poor run of results makes us think that John Coleman's side can claim at least a point here. Lincoln have drawn 13 games this season, which is the highest in the division, while Accrington have only won three games out of a possible 12 at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawLincoln City
38.84% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 26.73% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 34.43% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.102 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)53.38% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08% (-0.114 -0.11)74.92% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (-0.116 -0.12)26.82% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88% (-0.153 -0.15)62.11% (0.153 0.15)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)29.44% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)65.44% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 38.83%
    Lincoln City 34.43%
    Draw 26.72%
Accrington StanleyDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 38.83%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.66% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.9% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Accrington 1-0 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barnsley 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-2 Accrington (1-3 pen.)
Tuesday, January 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-1 Accrington
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-2 Accrington (1-3 pen.)
Tuesday, January 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Ipswich
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Bolton
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League One


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