Although Accrington have struggled in the league this season, they are currently unbeaten in five competitive games, and we think that they will be able to hold Port Vale to a point on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-2.4) 
0.27) 
