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FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Crown Ground
LL

Accrington
1 - 3
Leeds

Adekoya (81')
Coyle (39'), Adekoya (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harrison (23'), Firpo (66'), Sinisterra (68')
Greenwood (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Brentford
Sunday, January 22 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 16.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 2-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawLeeds United
16.86% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 20.39%62.74% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.45% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.8% (0.159 0.16)41.2% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.4% (0.161 0.16)63.6% (-0.158 -0.16)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (0.197 0.2)37.73% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (0.191 0.19)74.51% (-0.19 -0.19)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.45% (0.025999999999996 0.03)12.55% (-0.025 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.41% (0.053000000000004 0.05)38.59% (-0.052 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 16.86%
    Leeds United 62.73%
    Draw 20.4%
Accrington StanleyDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 4.67% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.25% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.52% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 16.86%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.4%
0-2 @ 10.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-1 @ 9.83% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 7.06% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.35% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.74% (0.012 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 62.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Accrington 1-0 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barnsley 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-2 Accrington (1-3 pen.)
Tuesday, January 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-1 Accrington
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Derby 4-0 Accrington
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Brentford
Sunday, January 22 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 5-2 Cardiff
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Leeds
Friday, January 13 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff 2-2 Leeds
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 West Ham
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-0 Leeds
Saturday, December 31 at 3pm in Premier League


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