Fleetwood
1 - 2
Burton Albion

Garner (12')
Clarke (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Powell (14'), Jebbison (77')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Fleetwood Town and Burton Albion.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood Town	Draw	Burton Albion
34%	25.66%	40.33%

Both teams to score 55.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51%

48.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.92%

71.07%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.43%

27.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.91%

63.09%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.98%

24.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.73%

58.27%

Score Analysis

Fleetwood Town 34%

Burton Albion 40.34%

Draw 25.65%

Fleetwood Town	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 8.53% 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.92% Total : 34%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 6.74% 1-3 @ 4.13% 0-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.34%