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Thursday, March 28
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League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 at 1pm UK
Fratton Park
BR

Portsmouth
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Curtis (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Bristol Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawBristol Rovers
54.03%24.85%21.13%
Both teams to score 47.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.26%53.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78%75.23%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15%19.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.04%51.96%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.68%40.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.05%76.95%
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 54.02%
    Bristol Rovers 21.13%
    Draw 24.85%
PortsmouthDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 12.94%
2-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 9.5%
3-0 @ 5.64%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 54.02%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 8.01%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.27%
1-2 @ 5.34%
0-2 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.31%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 21.13%

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