Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.