SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
58.65% ( 0.33) | 22.08% ( -0.2) | 19.26% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.43% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.17% ( 0.7) | 44.83% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.81% ( 0.67) | 67.19% ( -0.66) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.04% ( 0.34) | 14.95% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.63% ( 0.65) | 43.37% ( -0.65) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.83% ( 0.27) | 37.17% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.04% ( 0.26) | 73.95% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 58.65% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 19.26% |
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