SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Manchester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
60.63% ( -0.03) | 19.91% ( 0.01) | 19.46% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.51% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.6% ( -0) | 34.4% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.68% ( -0) | 56.32% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.94% ( -0.01) | 11.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.58% ( -0.02) | 35.42% ( 0.01) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( 0.01) | 30.84% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.88% ( 0.02) | 67.12% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.93% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.34% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.31% 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.02% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.01% Total : 60.63% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.41% 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 19.91% | 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 19.46% |
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