Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
