Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
