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League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Bloomfield Road (Blackpool, Lancashire)
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Blackpool
0 - 2
Birmingham


Morgan (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Laird (39'), May (51')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Blackpool 1-2 Birmingham City

With the EFL points record just a single victory away, Birmingham will be raring to put Blackpool to the sword at Bloomfield Road on Wednesday night. The Seasiders are the masters of splitting the honours at Bloomfield Road, but we feel that Bruce's men will become the latest side to succumb to the Blues juggernaut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 22.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Blackpool win it was 1-0 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
BlackpoolDrawBirmingham City
22.24% (2.968 2.97) 23.87% (1.087 1.09) 53.89% (-4.063 -4.06)
Both teams to score 52.19% (0.99 0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3% (-0.881 -0.88)48.69% (0.875 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19% (-0.808 -0.81)70.8% (0.80200000000001 0.8)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (2.524 2.52)36.36% (-2.53 -2.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.85% (2.469 2.47)73.15% (-2.475 -2.47)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.02% (-1.772 -1.77)17.98% (1.766 1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.16% (-3.126 -3.13)48.83% (3.119 3.12)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 22.24%
    Birmingham City 53.88%
    Draw 23.87%
BlackpoolDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.659 0.66)
2-1 @ 5.74% (0.625 0.63)
2-0 @ 3.35% (0.533 0.53)
3-1 @ 1.94% (0.325 0.33)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.196 0.2)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.243 0.24)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 22.24%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.52 0.52)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.271 0.27)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 11.21% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 9.63% (-0.805 -0.81)
1-3 @ 5.57% (-0.407 -0.41)
0-3 @ 5.51% (-0.823 -0.82)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.329 -0.33)
0-4 @ 2.36% (-0.517 -0.52)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 1-2 Wrexham
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Blackpool
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 3-0 Reading
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Bolton
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 4-0 Mansfield
Sunday, April 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Birmingham
Thursday, April 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Birmingham
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Crawley
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 0-2 Peterborough
Sunday, April 13 at 3pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in League One


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