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League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
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Wigan
0 - 3
Birmingham


Sibbick (42'), Kerr (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
May (18', 30'), Thor Willumsson (61')
Iwata (12'), Davies (13'), Harris (44'), Laird (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Wigan
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Birmingham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-2 Birmingham City

With Wigan having a longer break from action, they should come into this match suitably refreshed. Nevertheless, we are backing Blues to battle their way to a potentially-crucial three points to kick-start their title charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBirmingham City
26.9% (-0.192 -0.19) 26.5% (-0.067 -0.07) 46.59% (0.261 0.26)
Both teams to score 48.97% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.76% (0.136 0.14)55.23% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.53% (0.11 0.11)76.46% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.17% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)35.83% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)72.6% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (0.18100000000001 0.18)23.69% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (0.26000000000001 0.26)57.8% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 26.9%
    Birmingham City 46.59%
    Draw 26.5%
Wigan AthleticDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 26.9%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.0029999999999992 0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 12.22%
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.8% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.23% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Wigan
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Wigan
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 2-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 0-2 Wigan
Saturday, December 14 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Wigan
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wigan 0-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, December 7 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Birmingham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Blackpool
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Burton Albion
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Birmingham
Monday, December 23 at 8.15pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy


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