Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
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