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League One | Gameweek 35
Feb 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Reebok Stadium
LC

Bolton
3 - 1
Lincoln

Johnston (53'), Sadlier (76'), Bakayoko (83')
Bakayoko (68'), Charles (88'), Williams (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bramall (66')

We said: Bolton Wanderers 3-1 Lincoln City

Since losing their opening three games of the New Year, Bolton Wanderers have turned a corner in impressive fashion, claiming seven wins and one draw from nine outings. Next up is an out-of-sorts Lincoln City side who have struggled for consistency this season and are languishing five points above the relegation zone. We are backing Bolton to come away with a comfortable win on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 20.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawLincoln City
57.03%22.75%20.22%
Both teams to score 52.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.64%46.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35%68.64%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98%16.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.64%45.36%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.96%37.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.18%73.82%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 57.03%
    Lincoln City 20.22%
    Draw 22.74%
Bolton WanderersDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.86%
2-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 6.03%
3-2 @ 3%
4-0 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 2.76%
4-2 @ 1.37%
5-0 @ 1.02%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 57.03%
1-1 @ 10.79%
0-0 @ 5.93%
2-2 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.74%
0-1 @ 5.89%
1-2 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 2.93%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 20.22%

Read more!
Read more!


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