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League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
AS

Bolton
0 - 1
Accrington

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hamilton (42')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Accrington
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Accrington Stanley

Another slender victory is expected for the playoff chasers, who hope one goal is enough to secure maximum points against a side that have kept a sole clean sheet in their last 11 games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 10.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawAccrington Stanley
71.12% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 17.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 10.99% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.7% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.87% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)43.13% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.47% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)65.53% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.16% (0.0040000000000049 0)10.84% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)34.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.37% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)47.63% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.04% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)82.96% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 71.12%
    Accrington Stanley 10.99%
    Draw 17.89%
Bolton WanderersDrawAccrington Stanley
2-0 @ 12.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 9.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 5.24% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 71.12%
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.89%
0-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 10.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Bolton
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Cambridge
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bolton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Accrington
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Peterborough
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-5 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-0 Accrington
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Port Vale
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 5-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One


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