SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Lincoln City |
60.74% ( 0.04) | 21.38% ( -0) | 17.88% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.19% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.1% ( -0.05) | 43.9% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.71% ( -0.04) | 66.29% ( 0.04) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.01% ( -0) | 13.99% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.49% ( -0.01) | 41.51% ( 0) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.84% ( -0.07) | 38.15% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.08% ( -0.07) | 74.92% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 60.72% | 1-1 @ 10.11% 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.38% | 0-1 @ 5.14% 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 17.88% |
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