SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
46.84% ( 0.28) | 24.98% ( 0.11) | 28.18% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 54.56% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.62% ( -0.7) | 48.38% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.48% ( -0.64) | 70.52% ( 0.64) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( -0.16) | 20.69% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.7% ( -0.26) | 53.29% ( 0.26) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( -0.65) | 31.2% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.46% ( -0.77) | 67.54% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.18% |
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